At the same time, if liberal social policies really led inexorably to fewer unplanned pregnancies and thus fewer abortions, you would expect “blue” regions of the country to have lower teen pregnancy rates and fewer abortions per capita than demographically similar “red” regions.The sources Douthat cites completely destroy the framework behind the arguments presented by zealous death cult statists. Worse, the one study cited by Douthat came out 10 years ago; the other one came out a month ago. Did you see the media reporting these results? I know I didn't.
But that isn’t what the data show. Instead, abortion rates are frequently higher in more liberal states, where access is often largely unrestricted, than in more conservative states, which are more likely to have parental consent laws, waiting periods, and so on. “Safe, legal and rare” is a nice slogan, but liberal policies don’t always seem to deliver the “rare” part.
According to the pro-abortion statists, "access" to contraceptives is the key to preventing teenage pregnancy, to make abortions "save, legal, and rare." But as with every other social engineering project by the statists, especially Democrats, the reality shows something far different. As Douthat explains:
The liberal vision tends to emphasize access to contraception as the surest path to stable families, wanted children and low abortion rates. The more direct control that women have over when and whether sex makes babies, liberals argue, the less likely they’ll be to get pregnant at the wrong time and with the wrong partner — and the less likely they’ll be to even consider having an abortion.As evidence to the contrary, the groups Douthat cites are the Guttmacher Institute, a pro-abortion statist group, and the government's own CDC. In both cases, nearly 90% of the women they interviewed had access to contraceptives to prevent both teenage pregnancies and abortions. Yet, anti-science statists like Barack Obama and his abortion-loving henchwoman Kathleen Sebelius ignore the evidence since reality contradicts the narrative.
Douthat also provides what he says is the conservative point of view, that chastity, monogamy, and fidelity should be promoted. His explanation for why he doesn't see it as workable is weak. But it doesn't tarnish the excellent work done in the rest of the piece. Do read it all.
Cross-posted at RedState.